Truly, things are going horribly for the Martha Coakley campaign. Scott Brown now leads in a new poll by a margin of 50-46. As the NPR report comments, Scott Brown is getting independents, and even some Democrats who have decided to defect from the party. Byron York reports that already, Democrats have begun rationalizing an expected Coakley defeat.
About the only thing that Coakley can hope for at this point is that the third party candidate, Joe Kennedy (no relation to the famed Kennedy family), takes votes away from Brown on the right. Otherwise, the momentum is entirely with Brown. Bill Clinton and John Kerry have been forced to step in and campaign for Coakley, and President Obama is due to visit Massachusetts as well, but at this point, it may well be too little, too late. As Reid Wilson points out, Obama can no longer be considered a popular President, which makes going to Massachusetts an iffy proposition; by going there, he could do more to hurt Coakley than to help her. The White House’s lackluster efforts on Coakley’s behalf–a mediocre TV spot, and a last minute campaign stop–ought to do what Wilson thinks that a non-appearance would do; convince members of Congress to “race for the door because they will not have confidence that [Obama] is there for them.” And of course, some campaigns in favor of Coakley backfire; is it any surprise whatsoever to see Chuck Schumer step into it? Or to see that after having misspelled “Massachusetts” in an ad, Martha Coakley decided to make another ad that is even more embarrassing?
Now that Brown’s victory is looking more and more likely, it is well past time for Democrats–both within Massachusetts and nationwide–to put aside the skulduggery they are planning, and ensure that in the event of a Brown win, the victory is swiftly certified by the state. There is no excuse for putting off certification merely so that Paul Kirk will have more time to vote in favor of a health care reform bill, and if a similar tactic were tried against Democrats, the party, and its allied pundits, would all explode in outrage.